| Marc Jones | Conservative | 102,813 | 59.9% | +24.7% | |
| Rosanne Kirk | Labour | 34,310 | 20.0% | -2.8% | |
| David William | Independent | 18,375 | 10.7% | -5.8% | |
| Ross Pepper | Liberal Democrat | 10,172 | 5.9% | +5.9% | |
| Peter Escreet | Reform UK | 6,101 | 3.6% | +3.6% |
| 20162012 |
| Con | 35.2 | ||
| UKIP | 25.5 | ||
| Lab | 22.8 | ||
| Ind | 16.5 |
| Con | 56.2 | ||
| UKIP | 43.8 |
| Campaign to Stop Politicians Running Policing | 32.7 | ||
| Ind | 31.4 | ||
| Con | 23.7 | ||
| Lab | 12.2 |
| Ind | 52.8 | ||
| Campaign to Stop Politicians Running Policing | 47.2 |