| Matthew Scott | Conservative | 237,278 | 57.8% | +24.7% | |
| Lola Oyewusi | Labour | 103,807 | 25.3% | +6.2% | |
| Graham Colley | Liberal Democrat | 69,464 | 16.9% | +9.5% |
| 20162012 |
| Con | 33.1 | ||
| UKIP | 27.5 | ||
| Lab | 19.1 | ||
| Ind | 9.8 | ||
| LD | 7.4 | ||
| EDP | 3.1 |
| Con | 54.3 | ||
| UKIP | 45.7 |
| Ind | 46.8 | ||
| Con | 25.2 | ||
| Lab | 11.2 | ||
| UKIP | 7.8 | ||
| EDP | 5.3 | ||
| Ind | 3.7 |
| Ind | 65.5 | ||
| Con | 34.5 |